🧭 Crypto & Blockchain Investing Outlook — Week of Dec 7–14, 2025

📉 Market Recap — “Stabilizing, but not yet reversing”

The crypto market spent last week digesting the violent November selloff.
Bitcoin traded mostly in the $78,000–$84,000 range, marking the first week in over a month without a fresh low. Liquidity remains weak, but panic selling has clearly slowed.

Key observations:

BTC volatility compressing → often a pre-move signal
ETF outflows slowed, though not yet positive
ETH showing relative strength vs. altcoins
SOL, LINK, ARB holding support better than high-beta alts
Miners under pressure → hash-rate high, revenue per TH falling

This environment suggests the market is beginning to base, but the base is not yet complete.

💡 1. Are We Near a Buy Level Yet?

We are very close — but not confirmed.

The key zone remains $77,000–$80,000 for Bitcoin.
Here’s why this area matters:

It aligns with the 0.618 retracement of the entire 2025 rally.
On-chain data shows long-term holders buying, short-term capitulation slowing.
Miner selling pressure has stabilized.
Funding rates across exchanges near 0% → leverage reset.
Orderbook liquidity shows thick bids emerging near $78K.

If BTC holds above $77K this week, December is likely to become a slow grind upward.
If BTC loses $77K, expect a retest of $70–72K.

📈 2. Market Expectations for This Week (Dec 7–14)

A. Likely Scenario: Sideways → Small Upside

BTC consolidates between $79–87K
ETH retests $3,700–$3,900
Altcoins remain muted unless BTC reclaims $92K
ETF outflows hover near zero or slightly negative
Macro data (CPI/Fed commentary) drives small spikes

B. Bullish Trigger to Watch

A single week of net ETF inflows would dramatically shift sentiment.
If that happens, expect:

BTC → $92–95K attempt
ETH → $4,100
High-quality alts catch a bid (SOL, LINK, ARB)

C. Bearish Trigger to Watch

BTC closing below $77K on strong volume.
If so:

BTC → $72K
ETH → $3,300
Miners accelerate selling, alts get crushed

🧭 3. Portfolio Guidance for the Week

A. Core Allocation (Safe, Long-Term Positions)

Asset	Strategy	Reasoning
BTC	Scale in between $78–82K	Near structural support, long-term thesis intact
ETH	Add gradually	Strongest L1 fundamentals, holds value better in risk-off

B. High-Conviction Infrastructure Plays

Token	Strategy	Notes
LINK	Buy on dips	Strongest non-L1 token right now; institutional traction
SOL	Small adds only	Best-performing alt in 2025, but high beta
ARB / OP	Slow accumulation	ETH L2 dominance continues, strong dev ecosystems

C. Crypto-Equity Proxies

Equity	Strategy	Notes
MSTR	Accumulate	Pure BTC leverage; no debt risk, huge unrealized gains
COIN	Tactical buys	Proxy for volumes + ETF flows; volatile
CLSK (CleanSpark)	Attractive	Most resilient miner financially
MARA / RIOT	Avoid for now	High leverage + high energy costs → fragile under $80K BTC

D. Defensive Sleeve

Keep 20–30% in USDC/USDT until BTC recaptures $92K.
This allows:

Flexibility
Stress-free buying
Protection against a $77K breakdown

⚠️ 4. Key Risks This Week

BTC losing $77K support → structural breakdown
ETF outflows accelerating again
Macro surprises: CPI, Fed commentary, liquidity tightening
Miner capitulation if BTC hovers near variable-cost thresholds

🔮 5. Bottom Line

This week is about patience, positioning, and discipline, not prediction.

We are likely in the early phase of base formation, where:

Fear is high
Prices are compressed
Value begins to emerge
Smart money accumulates slowly

You are right to feel that a buy zone is close — the data supports that.
But the trend will not reverse until BTC reclaims $92–95K with strength.

Work backward from that:

👉 Accumulate small now
👉 Add more near $77–80K
👉 Go heavier on confirmation above $92–95K
👉 Keep cash for downside surprise

📈 Crypto Investing Watch (for this week Dec 7)